# Wallet conviction

Compares a wallet's initial buy with its own observed history. A 1.5× minimum means 50% larger than usual, not a win probability. Top-ups and missing or stale history cannot qualify for confirmation.

Node ID: `wallet-conviction` · Category: Filters · Minimum plan: Tier 2 and above

Human page: https://docs.orbi.gg/nodes/wallet-conviction

## How it works

Compare a watched wallet’s initial buy size with its own rolling observed history. Choose median or average as its normal buy size.

A 1.5× multiplier means the purchase is 50% larger than that baseline; it is not a probability of winning.

## Settings

| Setting | Config key | Initial value | Details |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Lookback days | `lookbackDays` | 7 | Rolling history before the signal. Current-token purchases are excluded. Editor range: 1 to 7. |
| Usual buy size | `baseline` | Median | Median resists outliers; average is the arithmetic mean. Options: Median (median); Average (average). |
| Minimum buy size | `minimumMultiplier` | 1.5 | Buy SOL divided by this wallet’s usual initial buy. 1.5× means 50% larger, not a 50% win probability. Editor range: 0.1 to 100. |
| Minimum entries | `minimumSamples` | 20 | Minimum observed initial buys required. Missing, stale or truncated history blocks the branch. Editor range: 5 to 1000. |

### Stored defaults

```json
{
  "lookbackDays": 7,
  "baseline": "median",
  "minimumMultiplier": 1.5,
  "minimumSamples": 20
}
```

## Connections

These lists show compatible node types, not approval of every graph. Branch, position context, subscription, no-cycle and complete-exit rules also apply. A node cannot connect to itself.

Accepts from: [Wallet signal](https://docs.orbi.gg/nodes/wallet-signal)

Connects to: [Wallet confirmation](https://docs.orbi.gg/nodes/wallet-confirmation), [Runner potential](https://docs.orbi.gg/nodes/runner-potential), [Twitter traction](https://docs.orbi.gg/nodes/twitter-traction), [Token filter](https://docs.orbi.gg/nodes/token-filter), [Balance](https://docs.orbi.gg/nodes/balance-check), [Entry chase](https://docs.orbi.gg/nodes/entry-chase), [Demand confirmation](https://docs.orbi.gg/nodes/demand-confirmation), [Open trade](https://docs.orbi.gg/nodes/open-trade), [Telegram notification](https://docs.orbi.gg/nodes/telegram-notify), [Discord notification](https://docs.orbi.gg/nodes/discord-notify), [Skip trade](https://docs.orbi.gg/nodes/skip-trade), [End](https://docs.orbi.gg/nodes/end)

## Before you run

- Needs an incoming Wallet signal and enough fresh history. Top-ups, current-token entries, incomplete history and stale samples cannot qualify.

[Full graph rules](https://docs.orbi.gg/guides/graphs) · [Paper assumptions](https://docs.orbi.gg/guides/paper-trading)