Wallet conviction

Compares a wallet's initial buy with its own observed history. A 1.5× minimum means 50% larger than usual, not a win probability. Top-ups and missing or stale history cannot qualify for confirmation.

FiltersTier 2 and above

Node ID wallet-convictionMarkdown

How it works

Compare a watched wallet’s initial buy size with its own rolling observed history. Choose median or average as its normal buy size.

A 1.5× multiplier means the purchase is 50% larger than that baseline; it is not a probability of winning.

Settings

Initial values for a new node, not your saved graph. Existing graphs can have different settings.

SettingInitial valueDetails
Lookback dayslookbackDays7Rolling history before the signal. Current-token purchases are excluded. Editor range: 1 to 7.
Usual buy sizebaselineMedianMedian resists outliers; average is the arithmetic mean. Options: Median (median); Average (average).
Minimum buy sizeminimumMultiplier1.5Buy SOL divided by this wallet’s usual initial buy. 1.5× means 50% larger, not a 50% win probability. Editor range: 0.1 to 100.
Minimum entriesminimumSamples20Minimum observed initial buys required. Missing, stale or truncated history blocks the branch. Editor range: 5 to 1000.

Connections

These lists show compatible node types, not approval of every graph. Branch, position context, subscription, no-cycle and complete-exit rules also apply. A node cannot connect to itself.

Full graph rules

Before you run

  • Needs an incoming Wallet signal and enough fresh history. Top-ups, current-token entries, incomplete history and stale samples cannot qualify.